Environmental changes in biodiversity hotspot ecosystems of
South Ecuador: RESPonse and feedback effECTs (FOR2730)

Abstract:

Within this chapter the Hadley Circulation, the Monsoon System, Easterly Waves, Tropical Cyclones and the Walker Circulation are discussed. While the Hadley Circulation and the Monsoon System explain different air flow systems in a mainly meridional sense, a secondary system of latitudinal wind flow is governed by the Walker circulation which is decisive for the formation of La Niña and El Niño events. Apart from the long-term seasonal and nonseasonal variations of the tropical atmosphere, the climate of the Tropics is also affected by more frequent tropical weather disturbances. One of them are large-scale planetary waves which produce greater amounts of rainfall in many maritime tropical regions. These disturbance lines sprawl in a meridional direction from east to west and are called easterly waves.

Abstract:

A main character of the entire tropics are the very low longitudinal gradients of air temperature of only 1 °C/1,000 km. In Fig. 1 (above) this is indicated by the broad reddish sector around the equator between 30°N and S and even beyond. A closer look at the upper image reveals darker patterns and hence the globally "hottest ecozone" over the Sahel and southern Sahara to the SE of the Arabian Peninsula. By far most of this section is part of the outer tropics. This "heat crest" north of the equator represents a thermal asymmetry and is linked to the large dimension of landmass in the northern half of Africa. Vertical termperature gradients in tropical mountains as well as changing meridional gradients of temperature amplitudes between the outer and inner tropics are presented by Figs. 2 and 3, resp. Diurnal an seasonal cycles are illustrated by thermoisopleths for different altitudes and under arid up to perhumid conditons (Figs. 4 and 5), which are also exampled for soil and surface temperatures (Fig. 6). Impacts of cold as well as of dry air intrusions (Figs. 7-9) are related to plant reactions and phenological aspects (Fig. 10).

Abstract:

Within this chapter different aspects of radiation and heat are discussed for the tropics. On a global scale the amount of annual solar radiation reaching the Earth's surface is determined by atmospheric and astronomical factors and the average energy budget of the Earth could be explained by the global radiation budget. Within the tropics the net radiation varies clearly across the different climatic regions. In the humid tropics the amount of net radiation shows an almost uniform annual pattern with two maxima per annum. In contrast to this, the horizontal course of the isopleths in a radiation isopleths diagram for the marginal tropics still indicates a marked diurnal cycle. At the Earth's surface, the total incoming radiation is transformed into different heat fluxes which are either directed towards the ground or to the atmosphere. In the tropical rainforests, only 10 % of the incoming radiation reaches the ground, and only a weak flow of sensible and latent heat exists from the forest canopy towards the forest ground and vice versa.

Abstract:

Large scale moisture patterns subdevide the year-round tropics from perarid up to perhumid subzones, which are combined with different degrees of cloudiness (Fig. 1) with convective heap clouds being of most importance (Figs. 2, 3, 4 and 5). A rather clear seasonal distribution of rainfall frequency and intensity (Fig. 7) governs the rythm of plant growth. Areas of highest precipitation amounts on the globe are concentrated on the inner parts of the tropics (Fig. 8), where thunderstorms are a typical feature of weather occurence. Long enduring droughts in wet as well as extraordinary rainfall intensities in arid regions are concentrated on distinct areas (Figs. 11 and 12). Most of the tropical high mounts show obvious "bulges" of enhanced rainfall rates at mid-elevations (Fig. 15).

Abstract:

Microclimatic differences between site conditions of forest ecosystems and farmlands are accented to clarify the significant importance of tree canopies for ecosystem services and agroforestry. An analyis of the climate within a tropical rainforest and its impact on epiphytic structure is given by Fig. 2. After forest conversion into farmland, radiation turnovers and energy flows as well as precipitation rates change dramatically (Figs. 3 and 4). Furthermore, clear-cuts of tropical forests enhance in destructive erosion processes during tropical downpours (Figs. 5, 6, and 8), which can reach impressive amounts during hurricane events (Fig. 7).

Abstract:

One of the most important climate criteria of the tropics is the absence of thermic seasons. Thus, hygric seasons become more relevant for ecosystem functioning and are of special importance for plant growth. Within this chapter different climate types of the tropics are discussed on the basis of their annual water budget. The humid climate type appears across the rain equator within or close to the ITCZ. It is distinguished by a clear water surplus and all months show a positive water balance in the long-term mean. The semi-humid climate type prevails at a certain distance from the Equator and the ITCZ. It is characterized by a distinct rainfall seasonality and the occurrence of more than 3 -4 arid months. In terms of the arid climate type the arid period is in general longer than the humid period and precipitation amounts decrease almost towards zero within the desert areas.

Abstract:

In this chapter, different aspects of climate variability at different time and spatial scales and their possible influences on ecosystems and biodiversity are discussed. A comprehensive full survey on climate change is presented in the fifth IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) assessment report 2013/2014.

Abstract:

Unlike the high latitudes and most of the mid-latitudes, the tropical ecozone benefits from a constant radiation surplus. In daytime, the sunrays descend at a steep angle up to 90° at noon between the tropics twice per year. Hence,long-term shaded slopes in mountain landscapes do not exist. Lengths of day and night stay almost the same at the equator (approx. 12 h.), while at the Tropics of Cancer and Capricorn, minimum and maximum day lengths vary within a time span from 10.5 to 13.5 h. As a result marked thermal seasons are absent in the tropical climates.

Abstract:

Differences in the thermic and hygric seasonalities cause decisive distinctions between extratropical and tropical plant growth features. Around the tropics of Capricorn and Cancer noticeable seasonal cycles of temperature still occur, which are of minor importance within the megatherm inner tropics. Two classification systems offer a subdivision of the tropical climates. Compared to the frequently used Koeppen-approach, that one of Lauer is prefered here due to its clearly defined hygrothermal regimes. Altitudinal climate belts in the tropics are presented by a general scheme, while climate and vegetation profiles reflect a realistic situation alongside the neotropical Cordilleras.

Abstract:

This paper presents a method to extrapolate wind-speed data and to calculate wind-speed and dynamic pressure maps for the complex topography of a mountain rainforest area in the tropical Andes of southeastern Ecuador. The spatial differentiation of dynamic wind pressure in this area is claimed to be a major determinant of the altitude of the tree-line ecotone and to affect the tree line’s physiognomy. The paper presents a hybrid method encompassing statistical data analysis using the Weibull distribution and a digital terrain analysis, taking topographical shelter effects into account. The method is used to derive mean and maximum wind-speed and dynamic pressure maps to reveal whether the tree-line ecotone is influenced by direct wind effects. On average, the tree-line ecotone on the eastern slopes shows a clear average depression of ~50 m. These slopes are affected by higher dynamic wind stress, so have a more disturbed canopy. These altered vegetation structures may be caused mainly by direct wind effects and to a smaller extent by indirect effects, such as high humidity.

Abstract:

In the megadiverse tropical mountain forest in the Andes of southern Ecuador, a global biodiversity hotspot, the use of fire to clear land for cattle ranching is leading to the invasion of an aggressive weed, the bracken fern, which is threatening diversity and the provisioning of ecosystem services. To find sustainable land use options adapted to the local situation, a profound knowledge of the long-term spatiotemporal patterns of land cover change and its drivers is necessary, but hitherto lacking. The complex topography and the high cloud frequency make the use of remote sensing in this area a challenge. To deal with these conditions, we pursued specific pre-processing steps before classifying five Landsat scenes from 1975 to 2001. Then, we quantified land cover changes and habitat fragmentation, and we investigated landscape changes in relation to key spatial elements (altitude, slope, and distance from roads). Good classification results were obtained with overall accuracies ranging from 94.5% to 98.5% and Kappa statistics between 0.75 and 0.98. Forest was strongly fragmented due to the rapid expansion of the arable frontier and the even more rapid invasion by bracken. Unexpectedly, more bracken-infested areas were converted to pastures than vice versa, a practice that could alleviate pressure on forests if promoted. Road proximity was the most important spatial element determining forest loss, while for bracken the altitudinal range conditioned the degree of invasion in deforested areas. The annual deforestation rate changed notably between periods: ~1.5% from 1975 to 1987, ~0.8% from 1987 to 2000, and finally a very high rate of ~7.5% between 2000 and 2001. We explained these inconstant rates through some specific interrelated local and national political and socioeconomic drivers, namely land use policies, credit and tenure incentives, demography, and in particular, a severe national economic and bank crisis.

Abstract:

In undisturbed tropical montane rainforests massive organic layers accommodate the majority of roots and only a small fraction of roots penetrate the mineral soil. We investigated the contribution of vegetation to slope stability in such environments by modifying a standard model for slope stability to include an organic layer with distinct mechanical properties. The importance of individual model parameters was evaluated using detailed measurements of soil and vegetation properties to reproduce the observed depth of 11 shallow landslides in the Andes of southern Ecuador. By distinguishing mineral soil, organic layer and aboveground biomass, it is shown that in this environment vegetation provides a destabilizing effect mainly due to its contribution to the mass of the organic layer (up to 973 t ha
1 under wet conditions). Sensitivity analysis shows that the destabilizing effect of the mass of soil and vegetation can only be effective on slopes steeper than 37.9. This situation applies to 36% of the study area. Thus, on the steep slopes of this megadiverse ecosystem, the mass of the growing forest promotes landsliding, which in turn promotes a new cycle of succession. This feedback mechanism is worth consideration in further investigations of the impact of landslides on plant diversity in similar environments.

Abstract:

An arbuscular mycorrhizal fungus (AMF) was isolated from a south Ecuadorian reforestation site in the vicinity of a pristine mountain rainforest ecosystem. Morphologically, it corresponded with the description of an AMF first described from Cuba as Gigaspora savannicola, before it was placed in Scutellospora. No living culture of this species has been available previously to allow detailed morphological review or DNA barcoding. After comparison of the morphology of the holotype and authenticated specimens with that of the Ecuadorian isolate, it was concluded that they are conspecific. A detailed redescription of the species is provided, including morphological characters not included in the original description, and an epitype is designated. To provide an extended DNA barcode for this AMF species, intraspecific variants of the near full-length small subunit rRNA gene (SSU) and a rDNA region comprising part of the SSU, the internal transcribed spacer (ITS) region including the 5.8S rRNA gene, and part of the large subunit rRNA gene (LSU) were sequenced. Phylotaxonomic analyses confirmed the classification in the genus Scutellospora sensu lato in a phylogenetic clade that, based on questionable evidence, was considered to circumscribe a distinct genus, Fuscutata. Recently, this genus was merged with Dentiscutata. Consequently, we move S. savannicola (=Fuscutata savannicola?=?Gigaspora savannicola) to the genus Dentiscutata (Gigasporaceae).

Abstract:

To reconstruct the environmental history including vegetation, fire and climate dynamics, from the Cajanuma valley area (3285 m elevation) in the Podocarpus National Park, southern Ecuador, we address the following major research question: (1) How did the mountain vegetation developed during the late Glacial and Holocene? (2) Did fire played an important control on the vegetation change and was it natural or of anthropogenic origin?. Palaeoenvironmental changes were investigated using multiple proxies such as pollen, spores, charcoal analyses and radiocarbon dating. Pollen data indicated that during the late Glacial and transition to the early Holocene (ca. 16 000–10 500 cal yr BP) herb páramo was the main vegetation type around the study area, while subpáramo and mountain rainforest were scarcely represented. The early and mid-Holocene (ca. 10 500 to 5600 cal yr BP) is marked by high abundance of páramo during the early Holocene followed by a slight expansion of mountain forest during the mid-Holocene. During the mid- to late Holocene (ca. 5600–1200 cal yr BP) there is a significant presence of páramo and subpáramo while Lower Mountain Forest decreased substantially, although, Upper Mountain Forest remained relatively stable during this period. The late Holocene, from ca. 1200 cal yr BP to present, was characterized by páramo; however, mountain forest and subpáramo presented significantly abundance compared to the previous periods. Fires became frequent since the late Holocene. The marked increased local and regional fire intensity during the wetter late Holocene strongly suggests that were of anthropogenic origin. During the late Glacial and early Holocene, the upper forest line was located at low elevations; but shifted slightly upslope to higher elevations during the mid-Holocene.

Abstract:

Late Pleistocene and Holocene vegetation, climate, and fire dynamics, as well as human impact, were studied in the El Cristal region, which is part of the Andean Depression in southeastern Ecuador. The sediment core from a small basin at 2056 m a.s.l. was analyzed by pollen and charcoal analysis and dated by six radiocarbon dates. The record indicates that during the late Pleistocene (ca. 19 750–12 500 cal yr BP) the Upper Mountain Rainforest (UMF), with some smaller areas of páramo and subpáramo were the main vegetation type in the study area. Additionally, there is evidence for Polylepis woodland in the region during this period, which does not exist in the area today. During the transition from the late Pleistocene to the early and mid-Holocene between ca. 12 500 to 3600 cal yr BP, there is a significant presence of mountain rainforest and stable proportions of subpáramo and páramo taxa. The early Holocene from ca. 11 500 to 7800 cal yr BP is characterized by UMF vegetation at the study site. Polylepis became more frequent and reached its maximum. During the mid-Holocene between 7800 to 3600 cal yr BP, the composition of the UMF changed. Polylepis decreased after ca. 4000 cal yr BP, probably due to higher fire frequency. During the mid- to late Holocene, human landscape dis- turbance is evident, especially between ca. 2000 and 1380 cal yr BP, with Asteraceae, Muehlenbeckia/Rumex, Osmunda and Huperzia all increasing in abundance. The late Holocene, from ca. 1380 cal yr BP, was characterized by an increased abundance of páramo taxa and a decrease in mountain rainforest taxa. The expansion of grassland during the late Holocene is interpreted as a result of an increase in human activity, which limited forest vegetation to isolated patches. However, between ca. 1200 and 900 cal yr BP the UMF expanded, probably due to forest recovery after the high frequency of fire. Between ca. 90

Abstract:

Late Holocene human impact and environmental changes were reconstructed from a sediment core of the Laguna Daniel Alvarez (2200 m asl) located on the outskirts of the city of Loja, southeastern Ecuador. Palaeoenvironmental changes were investigated by pollen, spore, algae and charcoal analysis in com- bination with X-Ray Fluorescence (XRF) scanning and element analysis of d13C, Total Organic Carbon (TOC), Total Nitrogen (TN) and radiocarbon dating. This multi-proxy study provides in detail the set- tlement history in the inner-Andean dry valley in southern Ecuador over the last ca. 1400 years. Between 630 and 1470 AD, Zea mays was intensively cultivated around the studied lake by the native Palta culture in the Loja region. After ca. 1470 AD, Z. mays cultivation collapsed, accompanied by an increase in fallow vegetation, such as Mimosa and Poaceae, probably as a result of the Inca invasion and occupation from 1463 to 1531 AD in southern Ecuador. After ca. 1570 AD, Amaranthaceae/Chenopo- diaceae markedly increased, re?ecting the beginning of the Spanish Conquest. In 1531 AD, Loja became Spanish and, during the ?rst ca. 100 years of the Spanish regime, Loja developed into the forti?ed capital of the province. In the 17th century, crop growing strongly declined due to the diminished indigenous population that probably suffered from new diseases introduced by the Spanish invaders. Pinus and Eucalyptus as well as Plantago lanceolata were introduced in the Loja region about 220 years ago.

Abstract:

Inverse parameter estimation of process-based models is a long-standing problem in many scientific disciplines. A key question for inverse parameter estimation is how to define the metric that quantifies how well model predictions fit to the data. This metric can be expressed by general cost or objective functions, but statistical inversion methods require a particular metric, the probability of observing the data given the model parameters, known as the likelihood. For technical and computational reasons, likelihoods for process-based stochastic models are usually based on general assumptions about variability in the observed data, and not on the stochasticity generated by the model. Only in recent years have new methods become available that allow the generation of likelihoods directly from stochastic simulations. Previous applications of these approximate Bayesian methods have concentrated on relatively simple models. Here, we report on the application of a simulation-based likelihood approximation for FORMIND, a parameter-rich individualbased model of tropical forest dynamics. We show that approximate Bayesian inference, based on a parametric likelihood approximation placed in a conventional Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler, performs well in retrieving known parameter values from virtual inventory data generated by the forest model. We analyze the results of the parameter estimation, examine its sensitivity to the choice and aggregation of model outputs and observed data (summary statistics), and demonstrate the application of this method by fitting the FORMIND model to field data from an Ecuadorian tropical forest. Finally, we discuss how this approach differs from approximate Bayesian computation (ABC), another method commonly used to generate simulation-based likelihood approximations. Our results demonstrate that simulation-based inference, which offers considerable conceptual advantages over more traditional methods for inverse parameter estimation, can be successfully applied to process-based models of high complexity. The methodology is particularly suitable for heterogeneous and complex data structures and can easily be adjusted to other model types, including most stochastic population and individual-based models. Our study therefore provides a blueprint for a fairly general approach to parameter estimation of stochastic process-based models.