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Cite as:
Thies, B.; Meyer, H.; Nauss, T. &amp; Bendix, J. (2012): <b>Projecting land use and land cover changes in a tropical mountain forest of southern Ecuador</b>. <i>Journal of Land Use Science</i> <b>xx</b>, 1-33.

Resource Description

Title: Projecting land use and land cover changes in a tropical mountain forest of southern Ecuador
Short Name: Projecting land use and land cover changes in southern Ecuador.
FOR816dw ID: 1172
Publication Date: 2012-09-18
License and Usage Rights:
Resource Owner(s):
Individual: Boris Thies
Contact:
Individual: Hanna Meyer
Contact:
Individual: Thomas Nauss
Contact:
Individual: Jörg Bendix
Contact:
Abstract:
Land-use and land-cover changes (LULCC) affect local climate. Human-induced defor-estation is a common phenomenon of LULCC. This also holds true for the biodiversity hotspot in the Andes of Ecuador. This study assesses the possibility to project LULCC to future time steps with a focus on deforestation in the San Francisco valley in South Ecuador. A business-as-usual scenario based on two Landsat scenes from 1987 and 2001 was created to project LULCC until 2006. The uncertainty assessment indicated the difficulty of projecting human impact on the ecosystem since circumstances of LULCC in the study area cannot be assumed to stay invariant. The projection performs better than a naive model relying on slope as its suitability factor.
Literature type specific fields:
ARTICLE
Journal: Journal of Land Use Science
Volume: xx
Page Range: 1-33
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Metadata Provider:
Individual: Boris Thies
Contact:
Online Distribution:
Download File: http://www.lcrs.de/publications.do?citid=1172


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