- Effects from climate change, adaptations and
greenhouse gas reduction at 2050

Abstract:

Overview of the B3 working package of the FACE2FACE Programme. Includes methods and model setup, N balance of the field site, simulation results of biomass and CO2 emissions with and without groundwater, as well as an outlook for the phase-out period.

Abstract:

Temperate grasslands play globally an important role, for example, for biodiversity conservation, livestock forage production, and carbon storage. The latter two are primarily controlled by biomass production, which is assumed to decrease with lower amounts and higher variability of precipitation, while increasing air temperature might either foster or suppress biomass production. Additionally, a higher atmospheric CO2 concentration ([CO2]) is supposed to increase biomass productivity either by directly stimulating photosynthesis or indirectly by inducing water savings (CO2 fertilization effect). Consequently, future biomass productivity is controlled by the partially contrasting effects of changing climatic conditions and [CO2], which to date are only marginally understood. This results in high uncertainties of future biomass production and carbon storage estimates. Consequently, this study aims at statistically estimating mid-21st century grassland aboveground biomass (AGB) based on 18 years of data (1998–2015) from a free air carbon enrichment experiment. We found that lower precipitation totals and a higher precipitation variability reduced AGB. Under drier conditions accompanied by increasing air temperature, AGB further decreased. Here AGB under elevated [CO2] was partly even lower compared to AGB under ambient [CO2], probably because elevated [CO2] reduced evaporative cooling of plants, increasing heat stress. This indicates a higher susceptibility of AGB to increased air temperature under future atmospheric [CO2]. Since climate models for Central Europe project increasing air temperature and decreasing total summer precipitation associated with an increasing variability, our results suggest that grassland summer AGB will be reduced in the future, contradicting the widely expected positive yield anomalies from increasing [CO2].

Abstract:

The sampling design in the all six Gi-FACE rings is standardised. Subplots 1-3 are used for weekly measurements of greenhouse gas fluxes and biannual biomass harvest. Subplots 4-25 are used for biannual biomass harvests and cover more or less the two species inventory subplots for biannual vegetations surveys. Subplots 24 and 25 have been used in 2013 for a 15N-13C Tracing study and in Subplot 25 the topsoil (7.5 cm) was used in 2014 for an incubation study and the soil was replaced by soil from outside the rings. Small circles within the ring area indicate Licor soil colomne for soil respiration measurements. The yellow rectangles mark the area where soil profiles have been opened in 2015 to install new soil moisture and temperature sensors. "Needles" and asterix mark positions where soil samples have been taken.

Abstract:

The rising concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere ([CO2]) has a direct effect on terrestrial vegetation through shifts in the rates of photosynthetic carbon uptake and transpirational water-loss. Free Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) experiments aim to predict the likely responses of plants to increased [CO2] under normal climatic conditions. The Giessen FACE system operates a lower [CO2] enrichment regime (480 mmol mol–1) than standard FACE (550–600 mmol mol–1), permitting the analysis of a mixed species temperate meadow under a [CO2] level equivalent to that predicted in 25–30 years. We analysed the physiological and morphological responses of six species to investigate the effect of moderate [CO2] on spring biomass production. Carbon dioxide enrichment stimulated leaf photosynthetic rates and supressed respiration, contributing to enhanced net assimilation and a 23% increase in biomass. The capacity for photosynthetic assimilation was unaffected by [CO2] enrichment, with no downregulation of rates of carboxylation of Rubisco or regeneration of ribulose- 1,5-bisphosphate. Foliar N content was also not influenced by increased [CO2]. Enhanced [CO2] reduced stomatal size, but stomatal density and leaf area index remained constant, suggesting that the effect on gas exchange was minimal.

Abstract:

Elevated CO2 (eCO2) reduces transpiration at the leaf level by inducing stomatal closure. However, this water saving effect might be offset at the canopy level by increased leaf area as a consequence of eCO2 fertilization. To investigate this bi-directional effect, we coupled a plant growth and a soil hydrological model. The model performance and the uncertainty in model parameters were checked using a 13 year data set of a Free Air Carbon dioxide Enrichment (FACE) experiment on grassland in Germany. We found a good agreement of simulated and observed data for soil moisture and total above-ground dry biomass (TAB) under ambient CO2 (?395 ppm) and eCO2 (?480 ppm). Optima for soil and plant growth model parameters were identified, which can be used in future studies. Our study presents a robust modelling approach for the investigation of effects of eCO2 on grassland biomass and water dynamics. We show an offset of the stomatal water saving effect at the canopy level because of a significant increase in TAB (6.5%, p < 0.001) leading to an increase in transpiration by +3.0 ± 6.0 mm, though insignificant (p = 0.1). However, the increased water loss through transpiration was counteracted by a significant decrease in soil evaporation (?2.1 ± 1.7 mm, p < 0.01) as a consequence of higher TAB. Hence, evapotranspiration was not affected by the increased eCO2 (+0.9 ± 4.9 mm, p = 0.5). This in turn led to a significantly better performance of the water use efficiency by 5.2% (p < 0.001). Our results indicate that mown, temperate grasslands can benefit from an increasing biomass production while maintaining water consumption at the +20% increase of eCO2 studied.

Abstract:

The presentation of the Working package B2 at the general assembly of the FACE2FACE consortium at the 4th of July, 2017.

Abstract:

Compares simulations of plant biomass and CO2 emissions of the Giessen FACE grassland with and without groundwater-borne nitrate.

Abstract:

Displays how field site data from the Giessen FACE are processed into simulations of soil moisture, biomass and greenhouse gas emissions (CO2 and N2O). Simulations are displayed in GLUE-like uncertainty analysis. Gives an outlook how the N-deficit of the field site may be connected to groundwater N supply.

Abstract:

Progress Report of AP B3 for the FACE2FACE plenary meeting

Abstract:

Shows how simulated biomass, soil moisture and greenhouse gas emissions are affected by the measured N deficit of the Giessen FACE grassland.