- Effects from climate change, adaptations and
greenhouse gas reduction at 2050

Abstract:

Overview of the model setup for the Giessen FACE grassland ecosystem, including preliminary simulation results for CO2 emissions and outlook.

Abstract:

Satellite map of the Umweltbeobachtungs und Klimafolgenforschungsstation Linden

Abstract:

A major issue of our today's research is to help meeting the challenges of future food security. One task is to assess and develop crop management strategies adapted to predicted future climatic conditions. Yet, both the variability of environmental conditions and the uncertainty of climate projections as well as the orchestra of multiple plant responses and their interaction with the environment make it difficult to predict plant behavior in the field. Recent studies have demonstrated the usefulness of classical crop models as a tool to investigate crop productivity under predicted climate conditions. These models use data on plant architecture only to a limited extent as they usually follow a systems approach by focusing on processes for predicting dry matter production. However, plant architecture is a major determinant of the crops’ resource use efficiency. Moreover, plants show time dependent structural changes as they grow and develop, and these processes are affected by various environmental factors and stresses. Virtual plant models consider both the three-dimensional plant architecture and concepts of plant physiology. Here, we outline the way in which virtual plant modelling can further improve our understanding on the impact of climate change on food production. Greenhouse and growth chamber experiments may serve as data sources for model parameterization, in particular of response functions with respect to environmental stimuli. Data from field experiments in free air carbon enrichment (FACE) facilities, such as those obtained in the new Geisenheim FACE for special crops, may be used to evaluate virtual plant models with respect to future climatic conditions. A combination of field data and virtual plant model simulations may then allow us to assess the specific role of plant architecture in resource use efficiency and help to develop advanced strategies for future crop production.

Abstract:

Soil respiration of terrestrial ecosystems, a major component in the global carbon cycle is affected by elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations. However, seasonal differences of feedback effects of elevated CO2 have rarely been studied. At the Gießen Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (GiFACE) site, the effects of +20% above ambient CO2 concentration have been investigated since 1998 in a temperate grassland ecosystem. We defined five distinct annual seasons, with respect to management practices and phenological cycles. For a period of 3 years (2008–2010), weekly measurements of soil respiration were carried out with a survey chamber on vegetation-free subplots. The results revealed a pronounced and repeated increase of soil respiration under elevated CO2 during late autumn and winter dormancy. Increased CO2 losses during the autumn season (September–October) were 15.7% higher and during the winter season (November–March) were 17.4% higher compared to respiration from ambient CO2 plots. However, during spring time and summer, which are characterized by strong above- and below-ground plant growth, no significant change in soil respiration was observed at the GiFACE site under elevated CO2. This suggests (1) that soil respiration measurements, carried out only during the growing season under elevated CO2 may underestimate the true soil-respiratory CO2 loss (i.e. overestimate the C sequestered), and (2) that additional C assimilated by plants during the growing season and transferred below-ground will quickly be lost via enhanced heterotrophic respiration outside the main growing season.

Abstract:

Overview of the B3 working package of the FACE2FACE Programme. Includes methods and model setup, N balance of the field site, simulation results of biomass and CO2 emissions with and without groundwater, as well as an outlook for the phase-out period.

Abstract:

RATIONALE: Because of the wide-ranging appearance and high soil organic carbon (C) content of grasslands, their ecosystems play an important role in the global C cycle. Thus, even small changes in input or output rates lead to significant changes in the soil C content, thereby affecting atmospheric [CO2]. Our aim was to examine if a higher C supply provided under elevated CO2 will increase the soil C pool. Special attention was given to respirational processes, where CO2 emission rates and its sources (plant vs. soil) were considered. METHODS: The Giessen-FACE experiment started in 1998 with a moderate CO2 enrichment of +20% and +30% above ambient on an extensively managed grassland. The experiment consists of three control plots where no CO2 is applied, three plots where [CO2] is enriched by +20% and one plot receiving [CO2] +30%. To exclude initial CO2 step increase effects, a detailed examination of respirational processes over 30 months was carried out after 6 years of CO2 enrichment starting in June 2004. At that time, the ?13C signature of the enrichment-CO2 was switched from
25 ‰ to
48 ‰ without a concomitant change in CO2 concentration. RESULTS: After 9 years, the fraction of new C under [CO2] +20% was 37 ± 5.4% in the top 7.5cm but this decreased with depth. No CO2 effect on soil carbon content was detected. Between June 2004 and December 2006, elevated [CO2] +20% increased the ecosystem respiration by 13%. The contribution of root respiration to soil respiration was 37 ± 13% (5 cm) and 43 ± 14% (10 cm) for [CO2] +20% and 35 ± 13% and 40 ± 13% for [CO2] +30%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings of an increased C turnover without a net soil C sequestration suggest that the sink strength of grassland ecosystems might decrease in the future, because the additional C may quickly be released as CO2 to the atmosphere.

Abstract:

Temperate grasslands play globally an important role, for example, for biodiversity conservation, livestock forage production, and carbon storage. The latter two are primarily controlled by biomass production, which is assumed to decrease with lower amounts and higher variability of precipitation, while increasing air temperature might either foster or suppress biomass production. Additionally, a higher atmospheric CO2 concentration ([CO2]) is supposed to increase biomass productivity either by directly stimulating photosynthesis or indirectly by inducing water savings (CO2 fertilization effect). Consequently, future biomass productivity is controlled by the partially contrasting effects of changing climatic conditions and [CO2], which to date are only marginally understood. This results in high uncertainties of future biomass production and carbon storage estimates. Consequently, this study aims at statistically estimating mid-21st century grassland aboveground biomass (AGB) based on 18 years of data (1998–2015) from a free air carbon enrichment experiment. We found that lower precipitation totals and a higher precipitation variability reduced AGB. Under drier conditions accompanied by increasing air temperature, AGB further decreased. Here AGB under elevated [CO2] was partly even lower compared to AGB under ambient [CO2], probably because elevated [CO2] reduced evaporative cooling of plants, increasing heat stress. This indicates a higher susceptibility of AGB to increased air temperature under future atmospheric [CO2]. Since climate models for Central Europe project increasing air temperature and decreasing total summer precipitation associated with an increasing variability, our results suggest that grassland summer AGB will be reduced in the future, contradicting the widely expected positive yield anomalies from increasing [CO2].

Abstract:

Elevated CO2 (eCO2) reduces transpiration at the leaf level by inducing stomatal closure. However, this water saving effect might be offset at the canopy level by increased leaf area as a consequence of eCO2 fertilization. To investigate this bi-directional effect, we coupled a plant growth and a soil hydrological model. The model performance and the uncertainty in model parameters were checked using a 13 year data set of a Free Air Carbon dioxide Enrichment (FACE) experiment on grassland in Germany. We found a good agreement of simulated and observed data for soil moisture and total above-ground dry biomass (TAB) under ambient CO2 (?395 ppm) and eCO2 (?480 ppm). Optima for soil and plant growth model parameters were identified, which can be used in future studies. Our study presents a robust modelling approach for the investigation of effects of eCO2 on grassland biomass and water dynamics. We show an offset of the stomatal water saving effect at the canopy level because of a significant increase in TAB (6.5%, p < 0.001) leading to an increase in transpiration by +3.0 ± 6.0 mm, though insignificant (p = 0.1). However, the increased water loss through transpiration was counteracted by a significant decrease in soil evaporation (?2.1 ± 1.7 mm, p < 0.01) as a consequence of higher TAB. Hence, evapotranspiration was not affected by the increased eCO2 (+0.9 ± 4.9 mm, p = 0.5). This in turn led to a significantly better performance of the water use efficiency by 5.2% (p < 0.001). Our results indicate that mown, temperate grasslands can benefit from an increasing biomass production while maintaining water consumption at the +20% increase of eCO2 studied.

Abstract:

Displays how field site data from the Giessen FACE are processed into simulations of soil moisture, biomass and greenhouse gas emissions (CO2 and N2O). Simulations are displayed in GLUE-like uncertainty analysis. Gives an outlook how the N-deficit of the field site may be connected to groundwater N supply.